Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.028179 0.030272 0.032375 0.034645 0.037024 0.039440 0.042075
2026-01-18 0.024683 0.027994 0.031444 0.035295 0.039462 0.043823 0.048721
2026-01-25 0.022114 0.026101 0.030364 0.035237 0.040627 0.046385 0.052974
2026-02-01 0.020166 0.024631 0.029512 0.035203 0.041613 0.048572 0.056656
2026-02-08 0.018545 0.023367 0.028745 0.035124 0.042426 0.050462 0.059919
2026-02-15 0.017140 0.022237 0.028024 0.035001 0.043100 0.052127 0.062868
2026-02-22 0.015961 0.021283 0.027432 0.034953 0.043798 0.053767 0.065747
2026-03-01 0.014744 0.020206 0.026626 0.034591 0.044076 0.054881 0.067988
2026-03-08 0.013474 0.018992 0.025589 0.033894 0.043905 0.055429 0.069537
2026-03-15 0.012325 0.017863 0.024599 0.033197 0.043686 0.055881 0.070940
2026-03-22 0.011933 0.017672 0.024742 0.033862 0.045088 0.058235 0.074574
2026-03-29 0.011326 0.017167 0.024464 0.033985 0.045814 0.059775 0.077240
2026-04-05 0.010594 0.016500 0.024000 0.033910 0.046355 0.061171 0.079843
2026-04-12 0.010204 0.016279 0.024104 0.034559 0.047809 0.063700 0.083853
2026-04-19 0.009558 0.015672 0.023674 0.034501 0.048360 0.065119 0.086517
2026-04-26 0.008973 0.015116 0.023283 0.034468 0.048923 0.066538 0.089176
2026-05-03 0.008417 0.014568 0.022877 0.034391 0.049412 0.067855 0.091704
2026-05-10 0.007885 0.014027 0.022454 0.034269 0.049827 0.069068 0.094098
2026-05-17 0.007417 0.013554 0.022102 0.034222 0.050323 0.070372 0.096602
2026-05-24 0.006879 0.012945 0.021536 0.033865 0.050398 0.071134 0.098425
2026-05-31 0.006274 0.012200 0.020748 0.033178 0.050014 0.071297 0.099484
2026-06-07 0.005713 0.011491 0.019981 0.032492 0.049608 0.071410 0.100464
2026-06-14 0.005579 0.011454 0.020183 0.033147 0.050989 0.073819 0.104354